​22/1/2026 מאת: אבי דרורי ​מדינת ישראל של 2024 אינה המדינה הקטנה והמוקפת של 1948. מאז הקמתה, ישראל חוותה זינוק דמוגרפי, הצמיחה את התמ"ג שלה לממדים של מעצמה אזורית וביססה עוצמה מדינית וטכנולוגית חסרת תקדים. ולמרות זאת, באורח פלא, תפיסת הביטחון הלאומית שלנו לא עברה שינוי מהותי מאז ימי בן גוריון. ​במשך עשורים, מערכת הביטחון נבנתה בתהליך אבולוציוני – טלאי על טלאי, בהתבסס על מה שהיה, וכמעט ללא התייחסות למה שצפוי. אירועי ה-7 באוקטובר והמלחמה שבעקבותיהם אינם רק קריאת השכמה טקטית; הם

January 10, 2026 by Avi Drori                                         Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu recently dropped a geopolitical bombshell in an interview with The Economist , declaring his intention to taper US military aid to Israel to zero over the next decade. While framed as a move toward "independence," this declaration is also a calculated political maneuver designed to silence a growing chorus of detractors in the American Right. Influential pundits like Tucker

January 24, 2026 ​By Avi Drori For the past five years, the geopolitical architecture of the Middle East has been defined by a single, overriding logic: containment. The Abraham Accords and the subsequent formation of the I2U2 group (India, Israel, UAE, and the US) were hailed as a breakthrough in "minilateralism"—a coalition of the willing designed to bypass the region's dysfunction. But let us be honest about what glued this diverse quartet together. It was not just trade c

​ January 17, 2026 ​ By Avi Drori ​The Persian Gulf is simmering, Twitter is ablaze with all-caps warnings of "FIRE AND FURY," and the protests in Tehran have reached a fever pitch. To the casual observer—and indeed, to many of the hawkish voices currently filling the Situation Room—it looks like the countdown has begun. The pieces are moving. The rhetoric is escalating. The "assurances" are on the desk: the Pentagon, the intelligence community, and a phalanx of consultants a

January 24, 2026 By Avi Drori For decades, the geopolitical narrative of the Middle East has been defined by the "Great Divide"—a Manichean struggle between a revolutionary Shiite Iran and a status-quo Sunni bloc led by Saudi Arabia and Egypt. To Western observers, the solution seems intuitive: the fall of the Islamic Republic would remove the region’s primary "spoiler," paving the way for a liberal, secular Iran that would naturally align with the U.S., Israel, an